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Bitcoin drops below 82000 dollars as geopolitical tensions weigh on markets

Bitcoin declined alongside United States stock markets following statements from Donald Trump regarding Iran, while capital inflows into spot ETFs slowed sharply.

FTMQ Crypto, written by our newsroom0 views

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Picture: Cointelegraph Bitcoin

Bitcoin fell by nearly 3% to hit 81,256 dollars on Bitstamp around Thursday's Wall Street open, Cointelegraph Bitcoin and Cointelegraph Main reported. The decline in digital asset prices coincided with a broader drop in United States equities following comments from President Donald Trump regarding potential military action against Iran. Trump told reporters that the United States was not negotiating with Iran and suggested that action would happen soon, Cointelegraph Bitcoin and Cointelegraph Main said. [1][2]

Market sentiment was further affected by mixed responses to corporate earnings and capital expenditure plans from Tesla, Cointelegraph Bitcoin and Cointelegraph Main reported. The broader diplomatic backdrop follows a period of negotiations and military conflict in the region, including airstrikes in June 2025 after a 60 day deadline passed without a peace agreement. [1][2][9]

The price drop tested key cost basis levels for institutional market participants. CryptoSlate reported that Glassnode estimates the average acquisition cost for United States spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds and publicly traded corporate treasuries sits around the 80,000 dollar level. Farside Investors data cited by CryptoSlate showed that net inflows into spot ETFs fell by 95.6% in a single day, dropping from 526.7 million dollars on October 19 to 23.2 million dollars on October 20. [4]

Recent research from DWF Labs indicates that spot ETF capital flows tend to follow price movements rather than drive them. Crypto Briefing and Cointelegraph Main reported that DWF Labs found investors routinely buy during price rallies and sell during market dips, meaning ETF flows reflect past price trends rather than predict future returns. [6][7]

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In short

  • Bitcoin fell 2.9% on the day to reach 81,256 dollars on Bitstamp.
  • United States spot Bitcoin ETF net inflows fell from 526.7 million dollars on October 19 to 23.2 million dollars on October 20.
  • Glassnode estimates the average cost basis for spot Bitcoin ETFs and corporate treasuries is near 80,000 dollars.
  • DWF Labs research shows spot Bitcoin ETF buyers follow price trends rather than setting them.

Sources

Every paragraph above points to the numbered items it rests on. Read the originals here.

  1. [1]Bitcoin circles $81.5K ETF cost basis as Trump Iran comments send stocks lowerCointelegraph Bitcoin, 12d ago (the report this story comes from)
  2. [2]Bitcoin circles $81.5K ETF cost basis as Trump Iran comments send stocks lowerCointelegraph Main, 12d ago
  3. [3]Bitcoin ETF investors tend to buy after price r...Pluang, 12d ago
  4. [4]Bitcoin’s $80,000 floor faces Friday inflation test as ETF inflows lose momentumCryptoSlate, 12d ago
  5. [5]Bitcoin ETF flows follow past price trends, not predict future returns, says DWF Labs research.Pluang, 12d ago
  6. [6]DWF Labs finds Bitcoin ETF buyers follow trends, not set themCrypto Briefing, 12d ago
  7. [7]Bitcoin ETF buyers are trend followers, not setters, DWF Labs saysCointelegraph Main, 12d ago
  8. [8]Bitcoin circles $81.5K ETF cost basis as Trump Iran comments send stocks lowerTradingView, 12d ago

Background

  1. [9]2025–2026 Iran–United States negotiations on Wikipedia
  2. [10]Strategy estimates $4.1 billion tax benefit from Bitcoin price rise FTMQ Crypto, 28d ago

Our newsroom writes these reports with the help of software, from the 10 sources listed and nothing else, and checks them against those sources. Facts can still be wrong or move on; the originals are the record. Spotted a mistake? Write to daniel@monsterkong.com.

Earlier reports of ours on the same people and subjects.

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